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Solar net generation (all sectors) · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Solar net generation (all sectors)

US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook, 2011, published 2011

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

solar_generation in 2023: 17.801 billion kWh

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

What happened: 165.53 billion kWh (EIA AEO Retrospective)

Forecast error: -147.73 billion kWh

The same forecast in other editions

20054.55591 billion kWh
20063.37671 billion kWh
20073.8659 billion kWh
20085.16556 billion kWh
200918.9039 billion kWh
201019.0437 billion kWh
201117.801 billion kWh
201224.6461 billion kWh
201338.6648 billion kWh
201440.137 billion kWh
201555.0624 billion kWh
2016159.075 billion kWh
2017130.092 billion kWh
2018169.691 billion kWh
2019220.28 billion kWh
2020239.784 billion kWh
2021221.689 billion kWh
2022256.686 billion kWh
2023256.961 billion kWh

All captured fields

series: solar_generation
target year: 2023
value: 17.801
unit: billion kWh
case: Reference
retrospective: AEO Retrospective 2025 (data file, pulled August 2025)
column: GEN_NA_ALLS_NA_SLR_NA_NA_BLNKWH
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2011-196

Cite

Hindsight, claim eia-aeo-2011-196. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2011-196

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.