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Imported crude oil price (IRAC), real · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Imported crude oil price (IRAC), real

US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook, 2006, published 2006

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

crude_oil_price_real in 2022: 54.8835 2012 USD per barrel

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

What happened: 72.5025 2012 USD per barrel (EIA AEO Retrospective)

Forecast error: -17.62 2012 USD per barrel

The same forecast in other editions

200535.26 2012 USD per barrel
200654.8835 2012 USD per barrel
200754.949 2012 USD per barrel
200859.0748 2012 USD per barrel
2009123.903 2012 USD per barrel
2010106.421 2012 USD per barrel
2011105.941 2012 USD per barrel
2012122.337 2012 USD per barrel
2013108.455 2012 USD per barrel
201492.9631 2012 USD per barrel
201570.421 2012 USD per barrel
201669.7242 2012 USD per barrel
201765.4271 2012 USD per barrel
201864.1076 2012 USD per barrel
201961.1588 2012 USD per barrel
202054.0319 2012 USD per barrel
202142.8747 2012 USD per barrel
202254.4812 2012 USD per barrel
202373.4084 2012 USD per barrel

All captured fields

series: crude_oil_price_real
target year: 2022
value: 54.8835
unit: 2012 USD per barrel
case: Reference
retrospective: AEO Retrospective 2025 (data file, pulled August 2025)
column: PRCE_NA_NA_NA_CR_IMCO_USA_RDLRPBRL
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2006-070

Cite

Hindsight, claim eia-aeo-2006-070. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2006-070

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.