Skip to main content

Envisioning is a research institute that studies how institutions adapt to technological change.

LinkedIn Instagram GitHub

Since 2010

Observatory
Adaptive capacity
Hindsight
Newsletter
Methodology
Origins
Vocab
RSS feeds

Signals Session
Bespoke Projects
Build Sessions
Pricing
Use cases
Signals
Signal Scanfree

ANBIMAFuture of Brazilian Capital Markets
IEEECharting the Energy Transition
Horizon 2045Future of Human and Planetary Security
WKOTechnology Scanning for Austria

solutions

Innovation
Strategy
Consultants
Foresight
Associations
Governments
L&D

resources

Partners
Coding for Non-Coders
Git for non-coders
How we work
Data visualization
Multi-Model Convergence
FAQ
Security and privacy
Public sector

Manifesto
Community
Events
Support
Contact

Research Capability Services Signals About

Research Capability Services Signals About

Total energy consumption (all sectors) · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Total energy consumption (all sectors)

US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook, 2004, published 2004

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

total_energy_consumption in 2021: 128.926 quadrillion Btu

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

What happened: 93.3639 quadrillion Btu (EIA AEO Retrospective)

Forecast error: +35.56 quadrillion Btu

The same forecast in other editions

2003131.343 quadrillion Btu
2004128.926 quadrillion Btu
2005126.536 quadrillion Btu
2006121.436 quadrillion Btu
2007118.91 quadrillion Btu
2008111.413 quadrillion Btu
2009104.802 quadrillion Btu
2010105.187 quadrillion Btu
2011105.121 quadrillion Btu
201299.446 quadrillion Btu
2013100.908 quadrillion Btu
2014100.761 quadrillion Btu
2015100.96 quadrillion Btu
2016100.837 quadrillion Btu
201799.9729 quadrillion Btu
2018100.236 quadrillion Btu
2019100.062 quadrillion Btu
2020100.213 quadrillion Btu
202195.1018 quadrillion Btu
202296.999 quadrillion Btu

All captured fields

series: total_energy_consumption
target year: 2021
value: 128.926
unit: quadrillion Btu
case: Reference
retrospective: AEO Retrospective 2022
table: Table 23
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2004-159

Cite

Hindsight, claim eia-aeo-2004-159. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2004-159

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.