Skip to main content

Envisioning is a research institute that studies how institutions adapt to technological change.

LinkedIn Instagram GitHub

Since 2010

Observatory
Adaptive capacity
Hindsight
Newsletter
Methodology
Origins
Vocab
RSS feeds

Signals Session
Bespoke Projects
Build Sessions
Pricing
Use cases
Signals
Signal Scanfree

ANBIMAFuture of Brazilian Capital Markets
IEEECharting the Energy Transition
Horizon 2045Future of Human and Planetary Security
WKOTechnology Scanning for Austria

solutions

Innovation
Strategy
Consultants
Foresight
Associations
Governments
L&D

resources

Partners
Coding for Non-Coders
Git for non-coders
How we work
Data visualization
Multi-Model Convergence
FAQ
Security and privacy
Public sector

Manifesto
Community
Events
Support
Contact

Research Capability Services Signals About

Research Capability Services Signals About

Total delivered transportation energy consumption · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Total delivered transportation energy consumption

US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook, 2003, published 2003

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

transportation_energy_consumption in 2021: 40.4617 quadrillion Btu

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

What happened: 27.0414 quadrillion Btu (EIA AEO Retrospective)

Forecast error: +13.42 quadrillion Btu

The same forecast in other editions

200340.4617 quadrillion Btu
200438.2256 quadrillion Btu
200537.4992 quadrillion Btu
200635.3159 quadrillion Btu
200734.4147 quadrillion Btu
200830.9659 quadrillion Btu
200928.6771 quadrillion Btu
201028.9281 quadrillion Btu
201128.7104 quadrillion Btu
201226.8486 quadrillion Btu
201326.779 quadrillion Btu
201425.8934 quadrillion Btu
201527.0595 quadrillion Btu
201627.5575 quadrillion Btu
201728.272 quadrillion Btu
201827.1324 quadrillion Btu
201927.5917 quadrillion Btu
202027.9309 quadrillion Btu
202126.2502 quadrillion Btu
202226.3181 quadrillion Btu

All captured fields

series: transportation_energy_consumption
target year: 2021
value: 40.4617
unit: quadrillion Btu
case: Reference
retrospective: AEO Retrospective 2022
table: Table 27
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2003-188

Cite

Hindsight, claim eia-aeo-2003-188. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2003-188

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.