Skip to main content

Envisioning is a research institute that studies how institutions adapt to technological change.

LinkedIn Instagram GitHub

Since 2010

Observatory
Adaptive capacity
Hindsight
Newsletter
Methodology
Origins
Vocab
RSS feeds

Signals Session
Bespoke Projects
Build Sessions
Pricing
Use cases
Signals
Signal Scanfree

ANBIMAFuture of Brazilian Capital Markets
IEEECharting the Energy Transition
Horizon 2045Future of Human and Planetary Security
WKOTechnology Scanning for Austria

solutions

Innovation
Strategy
Consultants
Foresight
Associations
Governments
L&D

resources

Partners
Coding for Non-Coders
Git for non-coders
How we work
Data visualization
Multi-Model Convergence
FAQ
Security and privacy
Public sector

Manifesto
Community
Events
Support
Contact

Research Capability Services Signals About

Research Capability Services Signals About

Total delivered transportation energy consumption · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Total delivered transportation energy consumption

US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook, 2003, published 2003

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

transportation_energy_consumption in 2013: 35.2128 quadrillion Btu

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

What happened: 26.5668 quadrillion Btu (EIA AEO Retrospective)

Forecast error: +8.65 quadrillion Btu

The same forecast in other editions

199629.141 quadrillion Btu
199731.3426 quadrillion Btu
199833.5078 quadrillion Btu
199933.4795 quadrillion Btu
200033.5066 quadrillion Btu
200134.0696 quadrillion Btu
200235.1947 quadrillion Btu
200335.2128 quadrillion Btu
200433.7941 quadrillion Btu
200533.2493 quadrillion Btu
200631.8282 quadrillion Btu
200730.8178 quadrillion Btu
200829.5533 quadrillion Btu
200928.3873 quadrillion Btu
201027.8953 quadrillion Btu
201127.9098 quadrillion Btu
201227.0471 quadrillion Btu
201326.4226 quadrillion Btu
201426.4054 quadrillion Btu

All captured fields

series: transportation_energy_consumption
target year: 2013
value: 35.2128
unit: quadrillion Btu
case: Reference
retrospective: AEO Retrospective 2022
table: Table 27
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2003-180

Cite

Hindsight, claim eia-aeo-2003-180. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-2003-180

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.