Skip to main content

Envisioning is a research institute that studies how institutions adapt to technological change.

LinkedIn Instagram GitHub

Since 2010

Observatory
Adaptive capacity
Hindsight
Newsletter
Methodology
Origins
Vocab
RSS feeds

Signals Session
Bespoke Projects
Build Sessions
Pricing
Use cases
Signals
Signal Scanfree

ANBIMAFuture of Brazilian Capital Markets
IEEECharting the Energy Transition
Horizon 2045Future of Human and Planetary Security
WKOTechnology Scanning for Austria

solutions

Innovation
Strategy
Consultants
Foresight
Associations
Governments
L&D

resources

Partners
Coding for Non-Coders
Git for non-coders
How we work
Data visualization
Multi-Model Convergence
FAQ
Security and privacy
Public sector

Manifesto
Community
Events
Support
Contact

Research Capability Services Signals About

Research Capability Services Signals About

Imported refiner acquisition cost of crude oil (nominal $) · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Imported refiner acquisition cost of crude oil (nominal $)

US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook, 1998, published 1998

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

crude_oil_price_nominal in 2005: 25.2694 nominal USD per barrel

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

What happened: 48.86 nominal USD per barrel (EIA AEO Retrospective)

Forecast error: -23.59 nominal USD per barrel

The same forecast in other editions

199069.1 nominal USD per barrel
199155.23 nominal USD per barrel
199252.53 nominal USD per barrel
199343.63 nominal USD per barrel
199436.0514 nominal USD per barrel
199530.3804 nominal USD per barrel
199629.8749 nominal USD per barrel
199725.87 nominal USD per barrel
199825.2694 nominal USD per barrel
199922.5897 nominal USD per barrel
200023.2273 nominal USD per barrel
200123.6519 nominal USD per barrel
200225.6634 nominal USD per barrel
200325.4012 nominal USD per barrel
200424.4542 nominal USD per barrel
200535.3961 nominal USD per barrel
200650.9661 nominal USD per barrel

All captured fields

series: crude_oil_price_nominal
target year: 2005
value: 25.2694
unit: nominal USD per barrel
case: Reference
retrospective: AEO Retrospective 2022
table: Table 4b
confidence: high

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-1998-033

Cite

Hindsight, claim eia-aeo-1998-033. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-1998-033

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.