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World oil prices (imported refiner acquisition cost of crude oil, IRAC) · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

World oil prices (imported refiner acquisition cost of crude oil, IRAC)

US Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook, 1992, published 1992

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

crude_oil_price_nominal in 2004: 49.18 nominal USD per barrel

Source

Verdict

Not graded yet.

What happened: 35.9 nominal USD per barrel (EIA AEO Retrospective)

Forecast error: +13.28 nominal USD per barrel

The same forecast in other editions

199150.99 nominal USD per barrel
199249.18 nominal USD per barrel
199341.21 nominal USD per barrel
199434.002 nominal USD per barrel
199528.8195 nominal USD per barrel
199628.2246 nominal USD per barrel
199724.7805 nominal USD per barrel
199824.3407 nominal USD per barrel
199921.1381 nominal USD per barrel
200022.6226 nominal USD per barrel
200123.0427 nominal USD per barrel
200224.8604 nominal USD per barrel
200325.6982 nominal USD per barrel
200424.5367 nominal USD per barrel
200535.7411 nominal USD per barrel

All captured fields

series: crude_oil_price_nominal
target year: 2004
value: 49.18
unit: nominal USD per barrel
case: Reference (Mid-Price case in early editions)
retrospective: AEO Retrospective Review 2010
table: Table 4
confidence: medium
note: Read from PDF table text by column position; values rounded as printed.

Permalink

https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-1992-014

Cite

Hindsight, claim eia-aeo-1992-014. Envisioning. https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/claims/eia-aeo-1992-014

Dispute this verdict

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.