Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Energy Outlook, 2020

BP · all publications · published 2020-09-14 · 40 predictions

complete← 2019 2022 →

No 2021 edition was published. Oil demand, renewables share from summary tables. EV fleet counts are not stated in text; shares of passenger car stock are.

www.bp.com/api/files/6cqieuqhq4no/master/519cxm86KMI4lik5qoD web.archive.org/web/20200920151417/https://www.bp.com/conten

2018

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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2018: 97.16 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-003
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2018: 4.7 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-022

2025

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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2025: 94.48 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-004
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oil

2030

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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2030: 89.33 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-005
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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2030: 86.59 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-011
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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2030: 97.83 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-017
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2030: 16 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-024
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2030: 20.9 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-030
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2030: 10.8 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-036

2035

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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2035: 79.29 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-006
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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2035: 71.84 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-012
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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2035: 96.63 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-018
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2035: 23.6 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-025
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2035: 34.8 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-031
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2035: 13.3 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-037

2040

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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2040: 67.42 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-007
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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2040: 51.32 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-013
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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2040: 94.05 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-019
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2040: 32.6 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-026
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2040: 47.5 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-032
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2040: 16.5 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-038

2045

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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2045: 56.97 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-008
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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2045: 35.62 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-014
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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2045: 91.61 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-020
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2045: 39.8 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-027
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2045: 54.8 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-033
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2045: 19.3 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-039

2050

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electric vehicles
By 2050, electric vehicles account for between 80-85% of the stock of passenger cars in Rapid and Net Zero and 35% in BAU.
bp-energy-outlook-2020-001
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electric vehicles
By 2050, electric vehicles account for between 80-85% of the stock of passenger cars in Rapid and Net Zero and 35% in BAU.
bp-energy-outlook-2020-002
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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2050: 47.32 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-009
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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2050: 24.25 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-015
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oil
oil demand (summary table 'Oil - Mbd') in 2050: 89.19 Mb/d
bp-energy-outlook-2020-021
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2050: 44.3 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-028
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2050: 59.2 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-034
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renewables
renewables share of primary energy (renewables (excl. hydro; bp 'Renewables' table)) in 2050: 22.2 percent
bp-energy-outlook-2020-040