# Energy Outlook · Hindsight | Envisioning Source: https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook --- --- 1. [Hindsight](/hindsight) 2. ›[BP](/hindsight/bp) 3. ›Energy Outlook --- # Energy Outlook Numeric forecasts · 14 publications Validated: graded by rule against the published actuals, with an agent audit of the matching ([D19](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d19-numeric-forecasts-are-graded-by-a-deterministic-command)). --- [Publishers](/hindsight)[Forecast vs actual](/hindsight/forecasts)[Side by side](/hindsight/comparisons) --- - [2025](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2025) Published 2025-09-25 Predictions 31 Status complete - [2024](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2024) Published 2024-07-10 Predictions 26 Status partial - [2023](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2023) Published 2023-01-30 Predictions 39 Status complete - [2022](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2022) Published 2022-03-14 Predictions 40 Status complete - [2020](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2020) Published 2020-09-14 Predictions 40 Status complete - [2019](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2019) Published 2019-02-14 Predictions 24 Graded 1 Hit rate 1 of 1, counts only Status complete - [2018](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2018) Published 2018-02-20 Predictions 15 Graded 1 Hit rate 1 of 1, counts only Status complete - [2017](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2017) Published 2017-01-25 Predictions 11 Graded 1 Hit rate 0 of 1, counts only Status complete - [2016](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2016) Published 2016-02-10 Predictions 6 Graded 1 Hit rate 0 of 1, counts only Status partial - [2015](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2015) Published 2015-02-17 Predictions 8 Graded 2 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Status partial - [2014](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2014) Published 2014-01-15 Predictions 9 Graded 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Status partial - [2013](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2013) Published 2013-01-16 Predictions 3 Status partial - [2012](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2012) Published 2012-01-18 Predictions 3 Status partial - [2011](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2011) Published 2011-01-19 Predictions 3 Status partial Publication Published Predictions Graded Hit rate Status [2025](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2025) 2025-09-25 31 complete [2024](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2024) 2024-07-10 26 partial [2023](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2023) 2023-01-30 39 complete [2022](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2022) 2022-03-14 40 complete [2020](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2020) 2020-09-14 40 complete [2019](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2019) 2019-02-14 24 1 1 of 1, counts only complete [2018](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2018) 2018-02-20 15 1 1 of 1, counts only complete [2017](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2017) 2017-01-25 11 1 0 of 1, counts only complete [2016](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2016) 2016-02-10 6 1 0 of 1, counts only partial [2015](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2015) 2015-02-17 8 2 1 of 2, counts only partial [2014](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2014) 2014-01-15 9 2 0 of 2, counts only partial [2013](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2013) 2013-01-16 3 partial [2012](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2012) 2012-01-18 3 partial [2011](/hindsight/bp/energy-outlook/2011) 2011-01-19 3 partial - hit - partial - miss Hit rate per publication: hits over hit, partial and miss. Below 20 graded claims, counts only ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). Rates per publication carry no audit adjustment; the series rate on the publisher page does ([D28](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d28-the-audit-error-rate-widens-every-published-interval-d11-issue-61)). ## 2014: by target year - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 1, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 1, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 0 1 0 0 of 1, counts only 2020 0 0 1 0 of 1, counts only ## 2015: by target year - 2015 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 1, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 1, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 1 0 0 1 of 1, counts only 2020 0 0 1 0 of 1, counts only --- Data, code and grading rules are public at [github.com/envisioning/hindsight](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight). Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in [the decision log](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md). Think a verdict is wrong? [Open a dispute](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/issues/new?template=dispute-verdict.yml). ---