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Research Capability Services Signals About

Research Capability Services Signals About

BP · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

BP

Every publication series from BP in Hindsight, and how its predictions turned out.

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

Energy OutlookNumeric forecasts

14 publications, 2011 to 2025 · 208 predictions

n/a

5 graded, under the minimum of 20 for a rate

hit 1partial 2miss 2still open 38ungradable 2

Graded by rule against the published actual value (D19).

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.