Global Risks Report, 2006

First edition: 'Global Risks 2006', World Economic Forum with MMC, Merrill Lynch and Swiss Re, and the Wharton Risk Center. It gives no top-5 ranking. It scores base-case and worst-case scenarios per risk for likelihood (1: below 1%, 2: 1-10%, 3: 10-20%, 4: above 20%) and severity (1-4, by asset damage, lives lost or GDP growth impact) in two horizons: short term to end of 2006 and long term to 2015. Entries are the scenarios plotted on its two 'highest severity' charts. Not comparable with later rankings. The 2020 'Evolving Risks Landscape' figure starts at 2007.