Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated
Edition number 34 per the press release. The press release says Daniel Franklin stepped down as editor after 17 years with this edition and Tom Standage took over. The press-release text has spaces before some punctuation, kept as published. Several scheduled events (Olympics, Euro 2020, COP26, Bond film) were postponed by covid-19.
That's doubly true for President Donald Trump : first in Congress with the Democrats' drive to remove him from office (the Republican-controlled Senate will save him), then in a febrile election in November.
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It will be ugly; the artificial intelligence we consulted reckons Mr Trump will lose.
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Britons, meanwhile, probably will get a chance to pass judgment on Boris Johnson .
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Banks, especially in Europe , will battle with negative interest rates. America will flirt with recession—but don't be surprised if disaster fails to strike, and markets revive.
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It will claim to have met its target of achieving "moderate prosperity" by 2020.
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The Tokyo Olympics will draw a huge global audience. The Euro 2020 football championship will be spread across 12 countries.
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The five-yearly review of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty will be a fraught affair
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In Glasgow they will make pledges on carbon emissions.
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America, Europe , China and the uae all plan missions.
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But James Bond fans will head to old-fashioned cinemas for the 25th film in the franchise.
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For the first time, the world will have more people aged over 30 than under.
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As recession fears build to a peak, stock prices will come under greater pressure. Long-term bond yields will fall further in America and plunge deeper into negative territory in Europe.
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But interest-rate cuts in America and China, and bond purchases by the European Central Bank, will at least keep credit flowing smoothly to businesses and consumers.
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As investors start to price in aggressive fiscal stimulus, stock prices will revive and bond yields will start to rise.
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Tsai Ing-wen won re-election as president of Taiwan.
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Sir Keir Starmer, whom we tipped as “a dark horse to watch” in the aftermath of Britain’s general election
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in line with our prediction that more Chinese tech firms, beyond Huawei, would find themselves caught up in such fights.
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