# The World in / The World Ahead · Hindsight | Envisioning Source: https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead --- --- 1. [Hindsight](/hindsight) 2. ›[The Economist](/hindsight/the-economist) 3. ›The World in / The World Ahead --- # The World in / The World Ahead Dated predictions · 40 publications Validated: two blind graders, an adjudicator on every disagreement, and an agent audit of a fixed sample ([D20](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d20-agents-do-all-grading-adjudication-and-audit-amends-d7-d11)). --- [Publishers](/hindsight)[Forecast vs actual](/hindsight/forecasts)[Side by side](/hindsight/comparisons) --- [Publications](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead)[Audit](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/audit) - [2026](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2026) Published 2025-11-10 Predictions 6 Status partial - [2025](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2025) Published 2024-11-18 Predictions 4 Graded 2 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Status partial - [2024](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2024) Published 2023-11-06 Predictions 4 Graded 1 Hit rate 1 of 1, counts only Status partial - [2023](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2023) Published 2022-11-14 Predictions 12 Graded 11 Hit rate 5 of 11, counts only Status partial - [2022](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2022) Published 2021-11-08 Predictions 11 Graded 9 Hit rate 6 of 9, counts only Status partial - [2021](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2021) Published 2020-11-16 Predictions 7 Graded 4 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only Status partial - [2020](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2020) Published 2019-11-21 Predictions 17 Graded 15 Hit rate 6 of 15, counts only Status partial - [2019](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2019) Published 2018-11-22 Predictions 21 Graded 21 Hit rate 48% of 21 Status partial - [2018](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2018) Published 2017-11-20 Predictions 16 Graded 14 Hit rate 10 of 13, counts only Status partial - [2017](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2017) Published 2016-11 Predictions 4 Graded 4 Hit rate 4 of 4, counts only Status partial - [2016](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2016) Published 2015-11 Predictions 6 Graded 6 Hit rate 5 of 6, counts only Status partial - [2015](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2015) Published 2014-11-20 Predictions 5 Graded 4 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Status partial - [2014](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2014) Published 2013 Predictions 0 Status partial - [2013](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2013) Published 2012 Predictions 0 Status partial - [2012](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2012) Published 2011 Predictions 0 Status partial - [2011](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2011) Published 2010 Predictions 1 Graded 1 Hit rate 1 of 1, counts only Status partial - [2010](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2010) Published 2009 Predictions 0 Status partial - [2009](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2009) Published 2008 Predictions 0 Status partial - [2008](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2008) Published 2007 Predictions 8 Graded 8 Hit rate 3 of 8, counts only Status partial - [2007](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2007) Published 2006 Predictions 0 Status partial - [2006](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2006) Published 2005 Predictions 0 Status partial - [2005](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2005) Published 2004 Predictions 2 Graded 2 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Status partial - [2004](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2004) Published 2003 Predictions 1 Graded 1 Hit rate 1 of 1, counts only Status partial - [2003](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2003) Published 2002 Predictions 2 Graded 2 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Status partial - [2002](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2002) Published 2001 Predictions 3 Graded 1 Hit rate 1 of 1, counts only Status partial - [2001](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2001) Published 2000 Predictions 2 Graded 2 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only Status partial - [2000](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2000) Published 1999 Predictions 0 Status partial - [1999](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1999) Published 1998 Predictions 0 Status partial - [1998](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1998) Published 1997 Predictions 0 Status partial - [1997](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1997) Published 1996 Predictions 1 Graded 1 Hit rate 0 of 1, counts only Status partial - [1996](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1996) Published 1995 Predictions 2 Graded 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Status partial - [1995](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1995) Published 1994 Predictions 0 Status partial - [1994](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1994) Published 1993 Predictions 2 Graded 1 Hit rate 1 of 1, counts only Status partial - [1993](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1993) Published 1992 Predictions 2 Graded 2 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only Status partial - [1992](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1992) Published 1991 Predictions 2 Graded 2 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Status partial - [1991](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1991) Published 1990 Predictions 2 Graded 2 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Status partial - [1990](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1990) Published 1989 Predictions 0 Status partial - [1989](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1989) Published 1988 Predictions 0 Status partial - [1988](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1988) Published 1987 Predictions 3 Graded 3 Hit rate 2 of 3, counts only Status partial - [1987](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1987) Published 1986 Predictions 8 Graded 7 Hit rate 5 of 7, counts only Status partial Publication Published Predictions Graded Hit rate Status [2026](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2026) 2025-11-10 6 partial [2025](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2025) 2024-11-18 4 2 1 of 2, counts only partial [2024](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2024) 2023-11-06 4 1 1 of 1, counts only partial [2023](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2023) 2022-11-14 12 11 5 of 11, counts only partial [2022](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2022) 2021-11-08 11 9 6 of 9, counts only partial [2021](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2021) 2020-11-16 7 4 3 of 4, counts only partial [2020](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2020) 2019-11-21 17 15 6 of 15, counts only partial [2019](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2019) 2018-11-22 21 21 48% of 21 partial [2018](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2018) 2017-11-20 16 14 10 of 13, counts only partial [2017](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2017) 2016-11 4 4 4 of 4, counts only partial [2016](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2016) 2015-11 6 6 5 of 6, counts only partial [2015](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2015) 2014-11-20 5 4 2 of 4, counts only partial [2014](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2014) 2013 0 partial [2013](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2013) 2012 0 partial [2012](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2012) 2011 0 partial [2011](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2011) 2010 1 1 1 of 1, counts only partial [2010](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2010) 2009 0 partial [2009](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2009) 2008 0 partial [2008](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2008) 2007 8 8 3 of 8, counts only partial [2007](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2007) 2006 0 partial [2006](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2006) 2005 0 partial [2005](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2005) 2004 2 2 1 of 2, counts only partial [2004](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2004) 2003 1 1 1 of 1, counts only partial [2003](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2003) 2002 2 2 1 of 2, counts only partial [2002](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2002) 2001 3 1 1 of 1, counts only partial [2001](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2001) 2000 2 2 2 of 2, counts only partial [2000](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/2000) 1999 0 partial [1999](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1999) 1998 0 partial [1998](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1998) 1997 0 partial [1997](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1997) 1996 1 1 0 of 1, counts only partial [1996](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1996) 1995 2 2 0 of 2, counts only partial [1995](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1995) 1994 0 partial [1994](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1994) 1993 2 1 1 of 1, counts only partial [1993](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1993) 1992 2 2 2 of 2, counts only partial [1992](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1992) 1991 2 2 1 of 2, counts only partial [1991](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1991) 1990 2 2 1 of 2, counts only partial [1990](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1990) 1989 0 partial [1989](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1989) 1988 0 partial [1988](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1988) 1987 3 3 2 of 3, counts only partial [1987](/hindsight/the-economist/the-world-ahead/1987) 1986 8 7 5 of 7, counts only partial - hit - partial - miss Hit rate per publication: hits over hit, partial and miss. Below 20 graded claims, counts only ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). Rates per publication carry no audit adjustment; the series rate on the publisher page does ([D28](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d28-the-audit-error-rate-widens-every-published-interval-d11-issue-61)). --- Data, code and grading rules are public at [github.com/envisioning/hindsight](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight). Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in [the decision log](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md). Think a verdict is wrong? [Open a dispute](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/issues/new?template=dispute-verdict.yml). ---