# Economic and Fiscal Outlook · Hindsight | Envisioning Source: https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook --- --- 1. [Hindsight](/hindsight) 2. ›[UK Office for Budget Responsibility](/hindsight/obr) 3. ›Economic and Fiscal Outlook --- # Economic and Fiscal Outlook Numeric forecasts · 33 publications Validated: graded by rule against the published actuals, with an agent audit of the matching ([D19](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d19-numeric-forecasts-are-graded-by-a-deterministic-command)). --- [Publishers](/hindsight)[Forecast vs actual](/hindsight/forecasts)[Side by side](/hindsight/comparisons) --- ## Hit rate by year of publication 0%50%100%all years 34%2010: 21% hits, 5 of 24 (95% interval 9% to 40%)2011: 41% hits, 9 of 22 (95% interval 23% to 61%)2012: 41% hits, 9 of 22 (95% interval 23% to 61%)2013: 45% hits, 10 of 22 (95% interval 27% to 65%)2014: 55% hits, 12 of 22 (95% interval 35% to 73%)2015: 41% hits, 14 of 34 (95% interval 26% to 58%)2016: 45% hits, 10 of 22 (95% interval 27% to 65%)2017: 45% hits, 10 of 22 (95% interval 27% to 65%)2018: 41% hits, 9 of 22 (95% interval 23% to 61%)2020: 11% hits, 5 of 44 (95% interval 5% to 24%)2021: 16% hits, 6 of 38 (95% interval 7% to 30%)2022: 23% hits, 7 of 30 (95% interval 12% to 41%)2023: 41% hits, 9 of 22 (95% interval 23% to 61%)graded2010: 24 graded2011: 22 graded2012: 22 graded2013: 22 graded2014: 22 graded2015: 34 graded2016: 22 graded2017: 22 graded2018: 22 graded2019: 10 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)2020: 44 graded2021: 38 graded2022: 30 graded2023: 22 graded2024: 14 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)2025: 6 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)20102012201420162018202020222024 Each dot is one year’s hit rate with its 95% interval, shown only for years with at least 20 graded claims ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). The bars below count the graded claims per year; faint bars are years too thin for a rate. Per-year rates carry no audit adjustment. Hover for the numbers. - [2026-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2026-03) Published 2026-03 Predictions 26 Status complete - [2025-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2025-11) Published 2025-11 Predictions 28 Graded 2 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only Status complete - [2025-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2025-03) Published 2025-03 Predictions 26 Graded 4 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only Status complete - [2024-10](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2024-10) Published 2024-10 Predictions 28 Graded 6 Hit rate 2 of 6, counts only Status complete - [2024-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2024-03) Published 2024-03 Predictions 26 Graded 8 Hit rate 2 of 8, counts only Status complete - [2023-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2023-11) Published 2023-11 Predictions 28 Graded 10 Hit rate 6 of 10, counts only Status complete - [2023-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2023-03) Published 2023-03 Predictions 26 Graded 12 Hit rate 3 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2022-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2022-11) Published 2022-11 Predictions 28 Graded 14 Hit rate 4 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2022-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2022-03) Published 2022-03 Predictions 26 Graded 16 Hit rate 3 of 16, counts only Status complete - [2021-10](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2021-10) Published 2021-10 Predictions 28 Graded 18 Hit rate 4 of 18, counts only Status complete - [2021-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2021-03) Published 2021-03 Predictions 26 Graded 20 Hit rate 10% of 20 Status complete - [2020-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2020-11) Published 2020-11 Predictions 28 Graded 22 Hit rate 14% of 22 Status complete - [2020-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2020-03) Published 2020-03 Predictions 40 Graded 22 Hit rate 9% of 22 Status complete - [2019-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2019-03) Published 2019-03 Predictions 40 Graded 10 Hit rate 2 of 10, counts only Status complete - [2018-10](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2018-10) Published 2018-10 Predictions 28 Graded 12 Hit rate 5 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2018-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2018-03) Published 2018-03 Predictions 26 Graded 10 Hit rate 4 of 10, counts only Status complete - [2017-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2017-11) Published 2017-11 Predictions 28 Graded 12 Hit rate 5 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2017-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2017-03) Published 2017-03 Predictions 26 Graded 10 Hit rate 5 of 10, counts only Status complete - [2016-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2016-11) Published 2016-11 Predictions 28 Graded 12 Hit rate 6 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2016-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2016-03) Published 2016-03 Predictions 26 Graded 10 Hit rate 4 of 10, counts only Status complete - [2015-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2015-11) Published 2015-11 Predictions 28 Graded 12 Hit rate 5 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2015-07](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2015-07) Published 2015-07 Predictions 28 Graded 12 Hit rate 5 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2015-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2015-03) Published 2015-03 Predictions 26 Graded 10 Hit rate 4 of 10, counts only Status complete - [2014-12](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2014-12) Published 2014-12 Predictions 28 Graded 12 Hit rate 6 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2014-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2014-03) Published 2014-03 Predictions 26 Graded 10 Hit rate 6 of 10, counts only Status complete - [2013-12](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2013-12) Published 2013-12 Predictions 28 Graded 12 Hit rate 6 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2013-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2013-03) Published 2013-03 Predictions 26 Graded 10 Hit rate 4 of 10, counts only Status complete - [2012-12](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2012-12) Published 2012-12 Predictions 28 Graded 12 Hit rate 5 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2012-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2012-03) Published 2012-03 Predictions 26 Graded 10 Hit rate 4 of 10, counts only Status complete - [2011-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2011-11) Published 2011-11 Predictions 28 Graded 12 Hit rate 6 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2011-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2011-03) Published 2011-03 Predictions 26 Graded 10 Hit rate 3 of 10, counts only Status complete - [2010-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2010-11) Published 2010-11 Predictions 28 Graded 12 Hit rate 3 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2010-06](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2010-06) Published 2010-06 Predictions 28 Graded 12 Hit rate 2 of 12, counts only Status complete Publication Published Predictions Graded Hit rate Status [2026-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2026-03) 2026-03 26 complete [2025-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2025-11) 2025-11 28 2 2 of 2, counts only complete [2025-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2025-03) 2025-03 26 4 3 of 4, counts only complete [2024-10](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2024-10) 2024-10 28 6 2 of 6, counts only complete [2024-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2024-03) 2024-03 26 8 2 of 8, counts only complete [2023-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2023-11) 2023-11 28 10 6 of 10, counts only complete [2023-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2023-03) 2023-03 26 12 3 of 12, counts only complete [2022-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2022-11) 2022-11 28 14 4 of 14, counts only complete [2022-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2022-03) 2022-03 26 16 3 of 16, counts only complete [2021-10](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2021-10) 2021-10 28 18 4 of 18, counts only complete [2021-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2021-03) 2021-03 26 20 10% of 20 complete [2020-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2020-11) 2020-11 28 22 14% of 22 complete [2020-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2020-03) 2020-03 40 22 9% of 22 complete [2019-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2019-03) 2019-03 40 10 2 of 10, counts only complete [2018-10](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2018-10) 2018-10 28 12 5 of 12, counts only complete [2018-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2018-03) 2018-03 26 10 4 of 10, counts only complete [2017-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2017-11) 2017-11 28 12 5 of 12, counts only complete [2017-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2017-03) 2017-03 26 10 5 of 10, counts only complete [2016-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2016-11) 2016-11 28 12 6 of 12, counts only complete [2016-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2016-03) 2016-03 26 10 4 of 10, counts only complete [2015-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2015-11) 2015-11 28 12 5 of 12, counts only complete [2015-07](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2015-07) 2015-07 28 12 5 of 12, counts only complete [2015-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2015-03) 2015-03 26 10 4 of 10, counts only complete [2014-12](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2014-12) 2014-12 28 12 6 of 12, counts only complete [2014-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2014-03) 2014-03 26 10 6 of 10, counts only complete [2013-12](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2013-12) 2013-12 28 12 6 of 12, counts only complete [2013-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2013-03) 2013-03 26 10 4 of 10, counts only complete [2012-12](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2012-12) 2012-12 28 12 5 of 12, counts only complete [2012-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2012-03) 2012-03 26 10 4 of 10, counts only complete [2011-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2011-11) 2011-11 28 12 6 of 12, counts only complete [2011-03](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2011-03) 2011-03 26 10 3 of 10, counts only complete [2010-11](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2010-11) 2010-11 28 12 3 of 12, counts only complete [2010-06](/hindsight/obr/economic-and-fiscal-outlook/2010-06) 2010-06 28 12 2 of 12, counts only complete - hit - partial - miss Hit rate per publication: hits over hit, partial and miss. Below 20 graded claims, counts only ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). Rates per publication carry no audit adjustment; the series rate on the publisher page does ([D28](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d28-the-audit-error-rate-widens-every-published-interval-d11-issue-61)). ## 2010-06: by target year - 2010 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2011 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2012 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2013 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2014 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2010 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2011 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2012 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2013 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2014 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2015 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only ## 2010-11: by target year - 2010 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2011 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2012 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2013 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2014 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2010 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2011 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2012 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2013 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2014 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2015 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only ## 2011-03: by target year - 2011 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2012 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2013 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2014 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2011 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2012 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2013 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2014 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2015 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only ## 2011-11: by target year - 2011 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2012 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2013 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2014 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2016 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2011 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2012 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2013 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2014 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2015 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2016 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only ## 2012-03: by target year - 2012 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2013 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2014 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2015 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2016 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2012 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2013 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2014 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2015 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2016 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only ## 2012-12: by target year - 2012 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2013 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2014 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2015 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2016 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2017 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2012 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2013 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2014 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2015 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2016 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2017 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only ## 2013-03: by target year - 2013 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2014 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2015 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2016 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2017 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2013 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2014 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2015 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2016 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2017 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only ## 2013-12: by target year - 2013 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2014 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2015 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2016 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2017 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2018 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2013 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2014 0 2 0 0 of 2, counts only 2015 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2016 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2017 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2018 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only ## 2014-03: by target year - 2014 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2015 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2016 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2017 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2018 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2014 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2015 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2016 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2017 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2018 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only ## 2014-12: by target year - 2014 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2015 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2016 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2017 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2018 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2019 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2014 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2015 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2016 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2017 0 2 0 0 of 2, counts only 2018 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2019 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only ## 2015-03: by target year - 2015 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2016 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2017 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2018 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2019 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2016 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2017 0 2 0 0 of 2, counts only 2018 0 2 0 0 of 2, counts only 2019 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only ## 2015-07: by target year - 2015 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2016 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2017 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2018 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2019 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2016 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2017 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2018 0 2 0 0 of 2, counts only 2019 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2020 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2015-11: by target year - 2015 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2016 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2017 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2018 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2019 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2016 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2017 0 2 0 0 of 2, counts only 2018 0 2 0 0 of 2, counts only 2019 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2020 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2016-03: by target year - 2016 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2017 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2018 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2019 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2016 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2017 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2018 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2019 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2020 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2016-11: by target year - 2016 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2017 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2018 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2019 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2021 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2016 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2017 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2018 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2019 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2020 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2021 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only ## 2017-03: by target year - 2017 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2018 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2019 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2021 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2017 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2018 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2019 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2020 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2021 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only ## 2017-11: by target year - 2017 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2018 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2019 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2021 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2022 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2017 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2018 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2019 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2020 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2021 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2022 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2018-03: by target year - 2018 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2019 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2021 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2022 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2018 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2019 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2020 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2021 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2022 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2018-10: by target year - 2018 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2019 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2021 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2022 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2023 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2018 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2019 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2020 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2021 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2022 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2023 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2019-03: by target year - 2019 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2021 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2022 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2023 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2019 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2020 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2021 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2022 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2023 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2020-03: by target year - 2019-20 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2020-21 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2021 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2021-22 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2022 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2022-23 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2023 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2023-24 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2024 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2024-25 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2019-20 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2020 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2020-21 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2021 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2021-22 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2022 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2022-23 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2023 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2023-24 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2024 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2024-25 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2020-11: by target year - 2020 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2020-21 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2021 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2021-22 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2022 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2022-23 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2023 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2023-24 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2024 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2024-25 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2025 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2020 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2020-21 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2021 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2021-22 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2022 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2022-23 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2023 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2023-24 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2024 0 2 0 0 of 2, counts only 2024-25 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2025 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only ## 2021-03: by target year - 2020-21 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2021 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2021-22 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2022 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2022-23 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2023 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2023-24 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2024 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2024-25 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2025 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2020-21 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2021 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2021-22 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2022 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2022-23 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2023 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2023-24 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2024 0 2 0 0 of 2, counts only 2024-25 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2025 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only ## 2021-10: by target year - 2021 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2021-22 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2022 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2022-23 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2023 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2023-24 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2024 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2024-25 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2025 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2021 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2021-22 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2022 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2022-23 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2023 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2023-24 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2024 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2024-25 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2025 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only ## 2022-03: by target year - 2021-22 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2022 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2022-23 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2023 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2023-24 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2024 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2024-25 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2025 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2021-22 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2022 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2022-23 0 2 0 0 of 2, counts only 2023 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2023-24 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2024 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2024-25 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2025 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only ## 2022-11: by target year - 2022 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2022-23 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2023 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2023-24 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2024 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2024-25 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2025 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2022 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2022-23 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2023 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2023-24 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2024 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2024-25 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2025 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2023-03: by target year - 2022-23 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2023 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2023-24 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2024 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2024-25 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2025 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2022-23 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2023 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2023-24 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2024 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only 2024-25 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2025 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only ## 2023-11: by target year - 2023 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2023-24 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2024 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2024-25 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2025 Hit 1 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2023 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2023-24 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2024 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only 2024-25 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2025 1 0 1 1 of 2, counts only ## 2024-03: by target year - 2023-24 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2024 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2024-25 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2025 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2023-24 0 2 0 0 of 2, counts only 2024 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2024-25 0 0 2 0 of 2, counts only 2025 0 1 1 0 of 2, counts only ## 2024-10: by target year - 2024 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only - 2024-25 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only - 2025 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2024 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only 2024-25 0 2 0 0 of 2, counts only 2025 0 2 0 0 of 2, counts only ## 2025-03: by target year - 2024-25 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 2, counts only - 2025 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 2, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2024-25 1 1 0 1 of 2, counts only 2025 2 0 0 2 of 2, counts only --- Data, code and grading rules are public at [github.com/envisioning/hindsight](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight). Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in [the decision log](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md). Think a verdict is wrong? [Open a dispute](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/issues/new?template=dispute-verdict.yml). ---