Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

UK Office for Budget Responsibility

Every publication series from UK Office for Budget Responsibility in Hindsight, and how its predictions turned out.

Economic and Fiscal OutlookNumeric forecasts

33 publications, 2010 to 2026 · 920 predictions

36%

hit rate, 134 of 376 (95% interval 31% to 41%)

hit 134partial 81miss 161still open 144ungradable 240

Graded by rule against the published actual value (D19). Rates: mean error -0.17 points, mean absolute error 1.62 points (n 340). Levels: mean error -20.9%, mean absolute error 37.2% of actual (n 36).