# 10 Breakthrough Technologies · Hindsight | Envisioning Source: https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies --- --- 1. [Hindsight](/hindsight) 2. ›[MIT Technology Review](/hindsight/mit-technology-review) 3. ›10 Breakthrough Technologies --- # 10 Breakthrough Technologies Technology placements · 25 publications Validated: two blind graders, an adjudicator on every disagreement, and an agent audit of a fixed sample ([D20](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d20-agents-do-all-grading-adjudication-and-audit-amends-d7-d11)). --- [Publishers](/hindsight)[Forecast vs actual](/hindsight/forecasts)[Side by side](/hindsight/comparisons) --- [Publications](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies)[Audit](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/audit) - [2026](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2026) Published 2026-01-12 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2025](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2025) Published 2025-01-03 Predictions 11 Graded 5 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only Status complete - [2024](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2024) Published 2024-01-08 Predictions 11 Graded 8 Hit rate 5 of 8, counts only Status complete - [2023](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2023) Published 2023-01-09 Predictions 11 Graded 8 Hit rate 7 of 8, counts only Status complete - [2022](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2022) Published 2022-02-23 Predictions 11 Graded 8 Hit rate 4 of 8, counts only Status complete - [2021](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2021) Published 2021-02-24 Predictions 10 Graded 10 Hit rate 6 of 10, counts only Status complete - [2020](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2020) Published 2020-02-26 Predictions 10 Graded 9 Hit rate 4 of 9, counts only Status complete - [2019](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2019) Published 2019-02-27 Predictions 10 Graded 5 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only Status complete - [2018](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2018) Published 2018-02-21 Predictions 10 Graded 8 Hit rate 2 of 6, counts only Status complete - [2017](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2017) Published 2017-02-22 Predictions 10 Graded 6 Hit rate 1 of 6, counts only Status complete - [2016](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2016) Published 2016-02-23 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2015](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2015) Published 2015-02-18 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2014](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2014) Published 2014-04-23 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2013](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2013) Published 2013-04-23 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2012](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2012) Published 2012-04-25 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2011](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2011) Published 2011-04-19 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2010](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2010) Published 2010-04-20 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2009](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2009) Published 2009-02-24 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2008](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2008) Published 2008-02-19 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2007](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2007) Published 2007-03 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2006](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2006) Published 2006-03 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2005](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2005) Published 2005-05 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2004](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2004) Published 2004-02 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2003](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2003) Published 2003-02 Predictions 10 Status complete - [2001](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2001) Published 2001-02 Predictions 10 Status complete Publication Published Predictions Graded Hit rate Status [2026](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2026) 2026-01-12 10 complete [2025](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2025) 2025-01-03 11 5 2 of 5, counts only complete [2024](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2024) 2024-01-08 11 8 5 of 8, counts only complete [2023](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2023) 2023-01-09 11 8 7 of 8, counts only complete [2022](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2022) 2022-02-23 11 8 4 of 8, counts only complete [2021](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2021) 2021-02-24 10 10 6 of 10, counts only complete [2020](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2020) 2020-02-26 10 9 4 of 9, counts only complete [2019](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2019) 2019-02-27 10 5 0 of 5, counts only complete [2018](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2018) 2018-02-21 10 8 2 of 6, counts only complete [2017](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2017) 2017-02-22 10 6 1 of 6, counts only complete [2016](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2016) 2016-02-23 10 complete [2015](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2015) 2015-02-18 10 complete [2014](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2014) 2014-04-23 10 complete [2013](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2013) 2013-04-23 10 complete [2012](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2012) 2012-04-25 10 complete [2011](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2011) 2011-04-19 10 complete [2010](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2010) 2010-04-20 10 complete [2009](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2009) 2009-02-24 10 complete [2008](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2008) 2008-02-19 10 complete [2007](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2007) 2007-03 10 complete [2006](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2006) 2006-03 10 complete [2005](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2005) 2005-05 10 complete [2004](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2004) 2004-02 10 complete [2003](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2003) 2003-02 10 complete [2001](/hindsight/mit-technology-review/10-breakthrough-technologies/2001) 2001-02 10 complete - hit - partial - miss Hit rate per publication: hits over hit, partial and miss. Below 20 graded claims, counts only ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). Rates per publication carry no audit adjustment; the series rate on the publisher page does ([D28](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d28-the-audit-error-rate-widens-every-published-interval-d11-issue-61)). --- Data, code and grading rules are public at [github.com/envisioning/hindsight](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight). Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in [the decision log](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md). Think a verdict is wrong? [Open a dispute](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/issues/new?template=dispute-verdict.yml). ---