# Tech Trends Report · Hindsight | Envisioning

Source: https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends

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1.  [Hindsight](/hindsight)
2.  ›[Future Today Strategy Group](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group)
3.  ›Tech Trends Report

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# Tech Trends Report

Trend lists · 11 publications

Validated: trend persistence from two blind rename checkers, an adjudicator and an agent audit ([D33](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d33-trend-claims-persistence-across-the-publishers-own-editions-issues-26-to-31)).

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[Publishers](/hindsight)[Forecast vs actual](/hindsight/forecasts)[Side by side](/hindsight/comparisons)
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-   [2025](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2025)
    
    Published
    
    2025-03
    
    Predictions
    
    676
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2024](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2024)
    
    Published
    
    2024-03
    
    Predictions
    
    706
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2023](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2023)
    
    Published
    
    2023-03
    
    Predictions
    
    674
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2022](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2022)
    
    Published
    
    2022-03
    
    Predictions
    
    592
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2021](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2021)
    
    Published
    
    2021-03
    
    Predictions
    
    504
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2020](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2020)
    
    Published
    
    2020-03
    
    Predictions
    
    415
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2019](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2019)
    
    Published
    
    2019-03
    
    Predictions
    
    321
    
    Status
    
    partial
    
-   [2017](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2017)
    
    Published
    
    2016-12
    
    Predictions
    
    156
    
    Status
    
    partial
    
-   [2016](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2016)
    
    Published
    
    2015-12
    
    Predictions
    
    75
    
    Status
    
    partial
    
-   [2015](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2015)
    
    Published
    
    2014-12
    
    Predictions
    
    59
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2014](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2014)
    
    Published
    
    2014-01
    
    Predictions
    
    25
    
    Status
    
    complete
    

Publication

Published

Predictions

Graded

Hit rate

Status

[2025](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2025)

2025-03

676

complete

[2024](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2024)

2024-03

706

complete

[2023](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2023)

2023-03

674

complete

[2022](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2022)

2022-03

592

complete

[2021](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2021)

2021-03

504

complete

[2020](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2020)

2020-03

415

complete

[2019](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2019)

2019-03

321

partial

[2017](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2017)

2016-12

156

partial

[2016](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2016)

2015-12

75

partial

[2015](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2015)

2014-12

59

complete

[2014](/hindsight/future-today-strategy-group/tech-trends/2014)

2014-01

25

complete

## Which trends the publisher kept

Rule [D33](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d33-trend-claims-persistence-across-the-publishers-own-editions-issues-26-to-31). Each trend is compared with the publisher’s next two editions: kept under the same name (persisted), kept under a new name (renamed), dropped (faded), or dropped and brought back later (recycled). This measures the publisher’s own consistency, not whether a trend came true, and is never a hit rate. 55 trends are not graded because a following edition was only partly captured ([D36](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d36-trend-persistence-across-a-partial-edition-amends-d33)).

-   persisted1,564
-   renamed558
-   recycled8
-   faded619
-   gap55
-   open1,381

57%

persisted, 1564 of 2749 (55% to 59%)

20%

renamed, 558 of 2749 (19% to 22%)

0%

recycled, 8 of 2749 (0% to 1%)

23%

faded, 619 of 2749 (21% to 24%)

Still open (fewer than two later editions): 1381. Audit of the agreed rename checks: 8 checked, 13% residual error.

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Data, code and grading rules are public at [github.com/envisioning/hindsight](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight). Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in [the decision log](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md). Think a verdict is wrong? [Open a dispute](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/issues/new?template=dispute-verdict.yml).
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