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Research Capability Services Signals About

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Budget and economic projections 2018-05 · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Budget and economic projections, 2018-05

US Congressional Budget Office · all publications · published 2018-05 · 5 predictions

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

complete← 2018-04 2018-08 →

Spring budget re-estimate: deficit projections only. Spring re-estimates usually reuse the winter economic forecast; no economic data file is posted for this baseline.

github.com/US-CBO/eval-projections/blob/main/input_data/base

2018

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2018: -798.185 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2018-05-001

2019

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2019: -970.287 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2018-05-002

2020

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2020: -1001.825 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2018-05-003

2021

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2021: -1117.988 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2018-05-004

2022

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2022: -1273.054 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2018-05-005

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.