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Research Capability Services Signals About

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Budget and economic projections 2016-08 · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Budget and economic projections, 2016-08

US Congressional Budget Office · all publications · published 2016-08 · 5 predictions

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

partial← 2016-03 2017-01 →

Gaps: economic projections (summer/fall updates usually revise the economic forecast; no economic data file for this baseline is posted on CBO's data page).

github.com/US-CBO/eval-projections/blob/main/input_data/base

2016

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2016: -604.417 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2016-08-001

2017

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2017: -591.404 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2016-08-002

2018

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2018: -517.756 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2016-08-003

2019

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2019: -624.048 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2016-08-004

2020

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2020: -713.111 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2016-08-005

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.