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Research Capability Services Signals About

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Budget and economic projections 2015-01 · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Budget and economic projections, 2015-01

US Congressional Budget Office · all publications · published 2015-01 · 5 predictions

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

partial← 2014-08 2015-03 →

Gaps: unemployment rate (not in the 2017 supplement; no annual data file for this baseline); real GDP growth; CPI inflation; 10-year Treasury rate.

github.com/US-CBO/eval-projections/blob/main/input_data/base

2015

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2015: -493.307 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2015-01-001

2016

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2016: -463.853 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2015-01-002

2017

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2017: -485.408 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2015-01-003

2018

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2018: -536.512 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2015-01-004

2019

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2019: -650.372 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2015-01-005

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.