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Budget and economic projections 2014-02 · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Budget and economic projections, 2014-02

US Congressional Budget Office · all publications · published 2014-02 · 8 predictions

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

partial← 2013-05 2014-04 →

Gaps: unemployment rate (not in the 2017 supplement; no annual data file for this baseline).

github.com/US-CBO/eval-projections/blob/main/input_data/base www.cbo.gov/system/files/115th-congress-2017-2018/reports/53

2014

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2014: -595.319 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2014-02-003

2015

not graded
Fig. 13 / CBO Forecast / 2014-2015
10-year Treasury note rate, average in 2015: 3.437 %
cbo-projections-2014-02-001
not graded
Fig. 9 / CBO Forecast / 2014-2015
CPI inflation, average in 2015: 1.824 %
cbo-projections-2014-02-002
not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.

federal budget deficit in 2015: -473.907 billion USD (negative = deficit)

cbo-projections-2014-02-004

not graded

Fig. 7 / CBO Forecast / 2014-2015

real GDP growth, average in 2015: 3.011 %

cbo-projections-2014-02-008

2016

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2016: -535.018 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2014-02-005

2017

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2017: -577.797 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2014-02-006

2018

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2018: -652.691 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2014-02-007