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Research Capability Services Signals About

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Budget and economic projections 2004-03 · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Budget and economic projections, 2004-03

US Congressional Budget Office · all publications · published 2004-03 · 5 predictions

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

complete← 2004-01 2004-09 →

Spring budget re-estimate: deficit projections only. Spring re-estimates usually reuse the winter economic forecast; no economic data file is posted for this baseline.

github.com/US-CBO/eval-projections/blob/main/input_data/base

2004

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2004: -477.439 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2004-03-001

2005

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2005: -363.279 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2004-03-002

2006

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2006: -272.647 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2004-03-003

2007

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2007: -274.281 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2004-03-004

2008

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2008: -285.884 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2004-03-005

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.