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Research Capability Services Signals About

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Budget and economic projections 2001-05 · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Budget and economic projections, 2001-05

US Congressional Budget Office · all publications · published 2001-05 · 5 predictions

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

complete← 2001-01 2001-08 →

Spring budget re-estimate: deficit projections only. Spring re-estimates usually reuse the winter economic forecast; no economic data file is posted for this baseline.

github.com/US-CBO/eval-projections/blob/main/input_data/base

2001

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2001: 275.242 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2001-05-001

2002

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2002: 303.929 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2001-05-002

2003

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2003: 353.446 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2001-05-003

2004

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2004: 399.523 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2001-05-004

2005

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2005: 436.787 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2001-05-005

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.