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Research Capability Services Signals About

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Budget and economic projections 2000-04 · Hindsight | Envisioning

Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Budget and economic projections, 2000-04

US Congressional Budget Office · all publications · published 2000-04 · 5 predictions

Publishers Envisioning Hype Cycle explorer Forecast vs actual

complete← 2000-01 2000-07 →

Spring budget re-estimate: deficit projections only. Spring re-estimates usually reuse the winter economic forecast; no economic data file is posted for this baseline.

github.com/US-CBO/eval-projections/blob/main/input_data/base

2000

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2000: 179.394 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2000-04-001

2001

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2001: 239.098 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2000-04-002

2002

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2002: 296.987 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2000-04-003

2003

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2003: 323.786 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2000-04-004

2004

not graded
deficit, Total (baselines.csv)
federal budget deficit in 2004: 347.792 billion USD (negative = deficit)
cbo-projections-2000-04-005

Data, code and grading rules are public at github.com/envisioning/hindsight. Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in the decision log. Think a verdict is wrong? Open a dispute.