Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated
The release calls the Economic Transition Scenario 'BNEF's base case scenario'. Net Zero Scenario requires 100% electrification of the fleet by 2050 versus 69% in the base case (fleet figures, not captured). No price parity year and no 2030 passenger figure in the public release.
The EV share of global new passenger vehicle sales jumps to 33% in 2027, from 17.8% in 2023.
bnef-evo-2024-001
Passenger EV sales are expected to exceed 30 million in 2027 in BNEF's base case scenario and grow to 73 million per year in 2040
bnef-evo-2024-002
The EV share of global new passenger vehicle sales jumps to 33% in 2027, from 17.8% in 2023.
bnef-evo-2024-003
Passenger EV sales are expected to exceed 30 million in 2027 in BNEF's base case scenario and grow to 73 million per year in 2040
bnef-evo-2024-004
Passenger EV sales are expected to ... grow to 73 million per year in 2040, contributing 73% to global car sales in that year
bnef-evo-2024-005