Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated
BNEF press release plus a Livent 10-K for the 2030 and 2040 unit numbers. A public BNEF presentation to the California Energy Commission (June 2020) shows the charts but gives the 2030 figures only graphically.
Sales of electric passenger vehicles are forecast to fall 18% in 2020, to 1.7 million worldwide
bnef-evo-2020-001
rising to 7% in 2023, at some 5.4 million units
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the lifetime and upfront costs of an electric car 'cross over' with those of ICE equivalents in around 2025
bnef-evo-2020-010
EV (battery electric and plug-in hybrid electric passenger vehicles) sales are expected to be approximately 25.8 million units in 2030, rising to 54.9 million units in 2040, representing a penetration rate of 28% and 58%
bnef-evo-2020-005
EV (battery electric and plug-in hybrid electric passenger vehicles) sales are expected to be approximately 25.8 million units in 2030, rising to 54.9 million units in 2040, representing a penetration rate of 28% and 58%
bnef-evo-2020-006
EV (battery electric and plug-in hybrid electric passenger vehicles) sales are expected to be approximately 25.8 million units in 2030, rising to 54.9 million units in 2040, representing a penetration rate of 28% and 58%
bnef-evo-2020-007
electric models accounting for 58% of new passenger car sales globally by 2040
bnef-evo-2020-008