# Global Economic Prospects · Hindsight | Envisioning Source: https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects --- --- 1. [Hindsight](/hindsight) 2. ›[World Bank](/hindsight/world-bank) 3. ›Global Economic Prospects --- # Global Economic Prospects Numeric forecasts · 49 publications Validated: graded by rule against the published actuals, with an agent audit of the matching ([D19](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d19-numeric-forecasts-are-graded-by-a-deterministic-command)). --- [Publishers](/hindsight)[Forecast vs actual](/hindsight/forecasts)[Side by side](/hindsight/comparisons) --- ## Hit rate by year of publication 0%50%100%all years 41%2008: 10% hits, 2 of 20 (95% interval 3% to 30%)2010: 29% hits, 8 of 28 (95% interval 15% to 47%)2011: 35% hits, 9 of 26 (95% interval 19% to 54%)2012: 38% hits, 10 of 26 (95% interval 22% to 57%)2013: 50% hits, 12 of 24 (95% interval 31% to 69%)2014: 50% hits, 14 of 28 (95% interval 33% to 67%)2015: 43% hits, 12 of 28 (95% interval 27% to 61%)2016: 57% hits, 16 of 28 (95% interval 39% to 73%)2017: 57% hits, 16 of 28 (95% interval 39% to 73%)2018: 61% hits, 17 of 28 (95% interval 42% to 76%)2019: 29% hits, 8 of 28 (95% interval 15% to 47%)2020: 0% hits, 0 of 26 (95% interval 0% to 13%)2021: 15% hits, 4 of 26 (95% interval 6% to 34%)2022: 50% hits, 16 of 32 (95% interval 34% to 66%)2023: 39% hits, 14 of 36 (95% interval 25% to 55%)2024: 69% hits, 25 of 36 (95% interval 53% to 82%)graded1995: 10 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)1996: 8 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)1999: 2 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)2000: 8 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)2002: 8 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)2003: 16 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)2004: 7 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)2005: 6 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)2006: 12 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)2008: 20 graded2010: 28 graded2011: 26 graded2012: 26 graded2013: 24 graded2014: 28 graded2015: 28 graded2016: 28 graded2017: 28 graded2018: 28 graded2019: 28 graded2020: 26 graded2021: 26 graded2022: 32 graded2023: 36 graded2024: 36 graded2025: 18 graded, fewer than 20: no rate (D11)199520002004200820122015201820212024 Each dot is one year’s hit rate with its 95% interval, shown only for years with at least 20 graded claims ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). The bars below count the graded claims per year; faint bars are years too thin for a rate. Per-year rates carry no audit adjustment. Hover for the numbers. - [2026-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2026-06) Published 2026-06 Predictions 18 Status complete - [2026-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2026-01) Published 2026-01 Predictions 18 Status complete - [2025-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2025-06) Published 2025-06 Predictions 18 Graded 9 Hit rate 3 of 9, counts only Status complete - [2025-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2025-01) Published 2025-01 Predictions 18 Graded 9 Hit rate 8 of 9, counts only Status complete - [2024-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2024-06) Published 2024-06 Predictions 18 Graded 18 Hit rate 14 of 18, counts only Status complete - [2024-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2024-01) Published 2024-01 Predictions 18 Graded 18 Hit rate 11 of 18, counts only Status complete - [2023-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2023-06) Published 2023-06 Predictions 18 Graded 18 Hit rate 8 of 18, counts only Status complete - [2023-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2023-01) Published 2023-01 Predictions 18 Graded 18 Hit rate 6 of 18, counts only Status complete - [2022-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2022-06) Published 2022-06 Predictions 18 Graded 16 Hit rate 9 of 16, counts only Status complete - [2022-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2022-01) Published 2022-01 Predictions 18 Graded 16 Hit rate 7 of 16, counts only Status complete - [2021-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2021-06) Published 2021-06 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 3 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2021-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2021-01) Published 2021-01 Predictions 18 Graded 12 Hit rate 1 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2020-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2020-06) Published 2020-06 Predictions 18 Graded 13 Hit rate 0 of 13, counts only Status complete - [2020-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2020-01) Published 2020-01 Predictions 18 Graded 13 Hit rate 0 of 13, counts only Status complete - [2019-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2019-06) Published 2019-06 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 5 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2019-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2019-01) Published 2019-01 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 3 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2018-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2018-06) Published 2018-06 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 8 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2018-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2018-01) Published 2018-01 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 9 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2017-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2017-06) Published 2017-06 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 9 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2017-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2017-01) Published 2017-01 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 7 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2016-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2016-06) Published 2016-06 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 8 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2016-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2016-01) Published 2016-01 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 8 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2015-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2015-06) Published 2015-06 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 7 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2015-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2015-01) Published 2015-01 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 5 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2014-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2014-06) Published 2014-06 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 8 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2014-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2014-01) Published 2014-01 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 6 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2013-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2013-06) Published 2013-06 Predictions 18 Graded 12 Hit rate 6 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2013-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2013-01) Published 2013-01 Predictions 18 Graded 12 Hit rate 6 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2012-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2012-06) Published 2012-06 Predictions 18 Graded 13 Hit rate 5 of 13, counts only Status complete - [2012-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2012-01) Published 2012-01 Predictions 18 Graded 13 Hit rate 5 of 13, counts only Status complete - [2011-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2011-06) Published 2011-06 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 5 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2011-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2011-01) Published 2011-01 Predictions 18 Graded 12 Hit rate 4 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2010-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2010-06) Published 2010-06 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 3 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2010-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2010-01) Published 2010-01 Predictions 18 Graded 14 Hit rate 5 of 14, counts only Status complete - [2008-12](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2008-12) Published 2008-12 Predictions 18 Graded 10 Hit rate 2 of 10, counts only Status complete - [2008-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2008-01) Published 2008-01 Predictions 18 Graded 10 Hit rate 0 of 10, counts only Status complete - [2006-12](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2006-12) Published 2006-12 Predictions 18 Graded 12 Hit rate 5 of 12, counts only Status complete - [2005-11](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2005-11) Published 2005-11 Predictions 12 Graded 6 Hit rate 3 of 6, counts only Status partial - [2004-11](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2004-11) Published 2004-11 Predictions 12 Graded 7 Hit rate 5 of 7, counts only Status partial - [2003-09](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2003-09) Published 2003-09 Predictions 12 Graded 8 Hit rate 3 of 8, counts only Status partial - [2003-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2003-01) Published 2003-01 Predictions 12 Graded 8 Hit rate 3 of 8, counts only Status partial - [2002-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2002-01) Published 2002-01 Predictions 12 Graded 8 Hit rate 3 of 8, counts only Status partial - [2000-12](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2000-12) Published 2000-12 Predictions 12 Graded 8 Hit rate 1 of 8, counts only Status partial - [1999-12](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/1999-12) Published 1999-12 Predictions 8 Graded 2 Hit rate 0 of 2, counts only Status partial - [1998-12](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/1998-12) Published 1998-12 Predictions 18 Status partial - [1996-08](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/1996-08) Published 1996-08 Predictions 26 Graded 8 Hit rate 5 of 8, counts only Status partial - [1995-08](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/1995-08) Published 1995-08 Predictions 28 Graded 10 Hit rate 3 of 10, counts only Status partial - [1992-04](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/1992-04) Published 1992-04 Predictions 6 Status partial - [1991-05](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/1991-05) Published 1991-05 Predictions 10 Status partial Publication Published Predictions Graded Hit rate Status [2026-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2026-06) 2026-06 18 complete [2026-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2026-01) 2026-01 18 complete [2025-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2025-06) 2025-06 18 9 3 of 9, counts only complete [2025-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2025-01) 2025-01 18 9 8 of 9, counts only complete [2024-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2024-06) 2024-06 18 18 14 of 18, counts only complete [2024-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2024-01) 2024-01 18 18 11 of 18, counts only complete [2023-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2023-06) 2023-06 18 18 8 of 18, counts only complete [2023-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2023-01) 2023-01 18 18 6 of 18, counts only complete [2022-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2022-06) 2022-06 18 16 9 of 16, counts only complete [2022-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2022-01) 2022-01 18 16 7 of 16, counts only complete [2021-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2021-06) 2021-06 18 14 3 of 14, counts only complete [2021-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2021-01) 2021-01 18 12 1 of 12, counts only complete [2020-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2020-06) 2020-06 18 13 0 of 13, counts only complete [2020-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2020-01) 2020-01 18 13 0 of 13, counts only complete [2019-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2019-06) 2019-06 18 14 5 of 14, counts only complete [2019-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2019-01) 2019-01 18 14 3 of 14, counts only complete [2018-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2018-06) 2018-06 18 14 8 of 14, counts only complete [2018-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2018-01) 2018-01 18 14 9 of 14, counts only complete [2017-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2017-06) 2017-06 18 14 9 of 14, counts only complete [2017-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2017-01) 2017-01 18 14 7 of 14, counts only complete [2016-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2016-06) 2016-06 18 14 8 of 14, counts only complete [2016-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2016-01) 2016-01 18 14 8 of 14, counts only complete [2015-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2015-06) 2015-06 18 14 7 of 14, counts only complete [2015-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2015-01) 2015-01 18 14 5 of 14, counts only complete [2014-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2014-06) 2014-06 18 14 8 of 14, counts only complete [2014-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2014-01) 2014-01 18 14 6 of 14, counts only complete [2013-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2013-06) 2013-06 18 12 6 of 12, counts only complete [2013-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2013-01) 2013-01 18 12 6 of 12, counts only complete [2012-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2012-06) 2012-06 18 13 5 of 13, counts only complete [2012-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2012-01) 2012-01 18 13 5 of 13, counts only complete [2011-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2011-06) 2011-06 18 14 5 of 14, counts only complete [2011-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2011-01) 2011-01 18 12 4 of 12, counts only complete [2010-06](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2010-06) 2010-06 18 14 3 of 14, counts only complete [2010-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2010-01) 2010-01 18 14 5 of 14, counts only complete [2008-12](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2008-12) 2008-12 18 10 2 of 10, counts only complete [2008-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2008-01) 2008-01 18 10 0 of 10, counts only complete [2006-12](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2006-12) 2006-12 18 12 5 of 12, counts only complete [2005-11](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2005-11) 2005-11 12 6 3 of 6, counts only partial [2004-11](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2004-11) 2004-11 12 7 5 of 7, counts only partial [2003-09](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2003-09) 2003-09 12 8 3 of 8, counts only partial [2003-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2003-01) 2003-01 12 8 3 of 8, counts only partial [2002-01](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2002-01) 2002-01 12 8 3 of 8, counts only partial [2000-12](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/2000-12) 2000-12 12 8 1 of 8, counts only partial [1999-12](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/1999-12) 1999-12 8 2 0 of 2, counts only partial [1998-12](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/1998-12) 1998-12 18 partial [1996-08](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/1996-08) 1996-08 26 8 5 of 8, counts only partial [1995-08](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/1995-08) 1995-08 28 10 3 of 10, counts only partial [1992-04](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/1992-04) 1992-04 6 partial [1991-05](/hindsight/world-bank/global-economic-prospects/1991-05) 1991-05 10 partial - hit - partial - miss Hit rate per publication: hits over hit, partial and miss. Below 20 graded claims, counts only ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). Rates per publication carry no audit adjustment; the series rate on the publisher page does ([D28](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d28-the-audit-error-rate-widens-every-published-interval-d11-issue-61)). ## 1995-08: by target year - 1995 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 1996 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 1995 2 1 2 2 of 5, counts only 1996 1 1 3 1 of 5, counts only ## 1996-08: by target year - 1996 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only - 1997 Hit 2 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 1996 3 0 1 3 of 4, counts only 1997 2 0 2 2 of 4, counts only ## 1999-12: by target year - 1999 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 0 of 1, counts only - 2000 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 1 Hit rate 0 of 1, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 1999 0 1 0 0 of 1, counts only 2000 0 0 1 0 of 1, counts only ## 2000-12: by target year - 2000 Hit 1 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only - 2001 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 4 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2000 1 2 1 1 of 4, counts only 2001 0 0 4 0 of 4, counts only ## 2002-01: by target year - 2002 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 4, counts only - 2003 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 4 Hit rate 0 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2002 3 1 0 3 of 4, counts only 2003 0 0 4 0 of 4, counts only ## 2003-01: by target year - 2003 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only - 2004 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2003 2 1 1 2 of 4, counts only 2004 1 3 0 1 of 4, counts only ## 2003-09: by target year - 2003 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only - 2004 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 0 Hit rate 1 of 4, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2003 2 2 0 2 of 4, counts only 2004 1 3 0 1 of 4, counts only ## 2004-11: by target year - 2004 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 4, counts only - 2005 Hit 3 Partial 0 Miss 0 Hit rate 3 of 3, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2004 2 1 1 2 of 4, counts only 2005 3 0 0 3 of 3, counts only ## 2005-11: by target year - 2005 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 2 of 3, counts only - 2006 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 1 of 3, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2005 2 1 0 2 of 3, counts only 2006 1 1 1 1 of 3, counts only ## 2006-12: by target year - 2006 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 3 of 6, counts only - 2007 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 2 of 6, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2006 3 1 2 3 of 6, counts only 2007 2 1 3 2 of 6, counts only ## 2008-01: by target year - 2008 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 4 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only - 2009 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 5 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2008 0 1 4 0 of 5, counts only 2009 0 0 5 0 of 5, counts only ## 2008-12: by target year - 2008 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 2 of 5, counts only - 2009 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 5 Hit rate 0 of 5, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2008 2 1 2 2 of 5, counts only 2009 0 0 5 0 of 5, counts only ## 2010-01: by target year - 2010 Hit 1 Partial 1 Miss 5 Hit rate 1 of 7, counts only - 2011 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 3 Hit rate 4 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2010 1 1 5 1 of 7, counts only 2011 4 0 3 4 of 7, counts only ## 2010-06: by target year - 2010 Hit 1 Partial 2 Miss 4 Hit rate 1 of 7, counts only - 2011 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 2 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2010 1 2 4 1 of 7, counts only 2011 2 2 3 2 of 7, counts only ## 2011-01: by target year - 2011 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 2 Hit rate 3 of 6, counts only - 2012 Hit 1 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 6, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2011 3 1 2 3 of 6, counts only 2012 1 2 3 1 of 6, counts only ## 2011-06: by target year - 2011 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 5 of 7, counts only - 2012 Hit 0 Partial 3 Miss 4 Hit rate 0 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2011 5 0 2 5 of 7, counts only 2012 0 3 4 0 of 7, counts only ## 2012-01: by target year - 2012 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 3 of 7, counts only - 2013 Hit 2 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 2 of 6, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2012 3 2 2 3 of 7, counts only 2013 2 1 3 2 of 6, counts only ## 2012-06: by target year - 2012 Hit 3 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 7, counts only - 2013 Hit 2 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 6, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2012 3 3 1 3 of 7, counts only 2013 2 3 1 2 of 6, counts only ## 2013-01: by target year - 2013 Hit 4 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 6, counts only - 2014 Hit 2 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 6, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2013 4 1 1 4 of 6, counts only 2014 2 3 1 2 of 6, counts only ## 2013-06: by target year - 2013 Hit 4 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 6, counts only - 2014 Hit 2 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 6, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2013 4 2 0 4 of 6, counts only 2014 2 3 1 2 of 6, counts only ## 2014-01: by target year - 2014 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 5 of 7, counts only - 2015 Hit 1 Partial 4 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2014 5 0 2 5 of 7, counts only 2015 1 4 2 1 of 7, counts only ## 2014-06: by target year - 2014 Hit 5 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 5 of 7, counts only - 2015 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 3 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2014 5 1 1 5 of 7, counts only 2015 3 2 2 3 of 7, counts only ## 2015-01: by target year - 2015 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 3 of 7, counts only - 2016 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 2 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 3 1 3 3 of 7, counts only 2016 2 2 3 2 of 7, counts only ## 2015-06: by target year - 2015 Hit 4 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 7, counts only - 2016 Hit 3 Partial 3 Miss 1 Hit rate 3 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2015 4 2 1 4 of 7, counts only 2016 3 3 1 3 of 7, counts only ## 2016-01: by target year - 2016 Hit 4 Partial 3 Miss 0 Hit rate 4 of 7, counts only - 2017 Hit 4 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2016 4 3 0 4 of 7, counts only 2017 4 2 1 4 of 7, counts only ## 2016-06: by target year - 2016 Hit 5 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 7, counts only - 2017 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 3 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2016 5 2 0 5 of 7, counts only 2017 3 1 3 3 of 7, counts only ## 2017-01: by target year - 2017 Hit 2 Partial 4 Miss 1 Hit rate 2 of 7, counts only - 2018 Hit 5 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 5 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2017 2 4 1 2 of 7, counts only 2018 5 1 1 5 of 7, counts only ## 2017-06: by target year - 2017 Hit 4 Partial 2 Miss 1 Hit rate 4 of 7, counts only - 2018 Hit 5 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 5 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2017 4 2 1 4 of 7, counts only 2018 5 1 1 5 of 7, counts only ## 2018-01: by target year - 2018 Hit 6 Partial 1 Miss 0 Hit rate 6 of 7, counts only - 2019 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 3 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2018 6 1 0 6 of 7, counts only 2019 3 1 3 3 of 7, counts only ## 2018-06: by target year - 2018 Hit 5 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 5 of 7, counts only - 2019 Hit 3 Partial 1 Miss 3 Hit rate 3 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2018 5 2 0 5 of 7, counts only 2019 3 1 3 3 of 7, counts only ## 2019-01: by target year - 2019 Hit 3 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 3 of 7, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 7 Hit rate 0 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2019 3 2 2 3 of 7, counts only 2020 0 0 7 0 of 7, counts only ## 2019-06: by target year - 2019 Hit 5 Partial 0 Miss 2 Hit rate 5 of 7, counts only - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 7 Hit rate 0 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2019 5 0 2 5 of 7, counts only 2020 0 0 7 0 of 7, counts only ## 2020-01: by target year - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 7 Hit rate 0 of 7, counts only - 2021 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 6 Hit rate 0 of 6, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2020 0 0 7 0 of 7, counts only 2021 0 0 6 0 of 6, counts only ## 2020-06: by target year - 2020 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 6 Hit rate 0 of 7, counts only - 2021 Hit 0 Partial 0 Miss 6 Hit rate 0 of 6, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2020 0 1 6 0 of 7, counts only 2021 0 0 6 0 of 6, counts only ## 2021-01: by target year - 2021 Hit 0 Partial 1 Miss 5 Hit rate 0 of 6, counts only - 2022 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 2 Hit rate 1 of 6, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2021 0 1 5 0 of 6, counts only 2022 1 3 2 1 of 6, counts only ## 2021-06: by target year - 2021 Hit 2 Partial 3 Miss 2 Hit rate 2 of 7, counts only - 2022 Hit 1 Partial 3 Miss 3 Hit rate 1 of 7, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2021 2 3 2 2 of 7, counts only 2022 1 3 3 1 of 7, counts only ## 2022-01: by target year - 2022 Hit 0 Partial 2 Miss 5 Hit rate 0 of 7, counts only - 2023 Hit 7 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 7 of 9, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2022 0 2 5 0 of 7, counts only 2023 7 1 1 7 of 9, counts only ## 2022-06: by target year - 2022 Hit 4 Partial 0 Miss 3 Hit rate 4 of 7, counts only - 2023 Hit 5 Partial 2 Miss 2 Hit rate 5 of 9, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2022 4 0 3 4 of 7, counts only 2023 5 2 2 5 of 9, counts only ## 2023-01: by target year - 2023 Hit 2 Partial 2 Miss 5 Hit rate 2 of 9, counts only - 2024 Hit 4 Partial 3 Miss 2 Hit rate 4 of 9, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2023 2 2 5 2 of 9, counts only 2024 4 3 2 4 of 9, counts only ## 2023-06: by target year - 2023 Hit 4 Partial 3 Miss 2 Hit rate 4 of 9, counts only - 2024 Hit 4 Partial 3 Miss 2 Hit rate 4 of 9, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2023 4 3 2 4 of 9, counts only 2024 4 3 2 4 of 9, counts only ## 2024-01: by target year - 2024 Hit 4 Partial 2 Miss 3 Hit rate 4 of 9, counts only - 2025 Hit 7 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 7 of 9, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2024 4 2 3 4 of 9, counts only 2025 7 1 1 7 of 9, counts only ## 2024-06: by target year - 2024 Hit 7 Partial 1 Miss 1 Hit rate 7 of 9, counts only - 2025 Hit 7 Partial 2 Miss 0 Hit rate 7 of 9, counts only Target year Hit Partial Miss Hit rate 2024 7 1 1 7 of 9, counts only 2025 7 2 0 7 of 9, counts only --- Data, code and grading rules are public at [github.com/envisioning/hindsight](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight). Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in [the decision log](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md). Think a verdict is wrong? [Open a dispute](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/issues/new?template=dispute-verdict.yml). ---