# FutureScape · Hindsight | Envisioning

Source: https://www.envisioning.com/hindsight/idc/futurescape

---

---

1.  [Hindsight](/hindsight)
2.  ›[IDC](/hindsight/idc)
3.  ›FutureScape

---

# FutureScape

Dated predictions · 12 publications

Validated: two blind graders, an adjudicator on every disagreement, and an agent audit of a fixed sample ([D20](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d20-agents-do-all-grading-adjudication-and-audit-amends-d7-d11)).

---
[Publishers](/hindsight)[Forecast vs actual](/hindsight/forecasts)[Side by side](/hindsight/comparisons)
---

[Publications](/hindsight/idc/futurescape)[Audit](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/audit)

-   [2025](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2025)
    
    Published
    
    2025-10
    
    Predictions
    
    10
    
    Status
    
    partial
    
-   [2024](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2024)
    
    Published
    
    2024-10
    
    Predictions
    
    20
    
    Graded
    
    4
    
    Hit rate
    
    0 of 2, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2023](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2023)
    
    Published
    
    2023-10
    
    Predictions
    
    20
    
    Graded
    
    9
    
    Hit rate
    
    1 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2022](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2022)
    
    Published
    
    2022-10
    
    Predictions
    
    20
    
    Graded
    
    13
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2021](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2021)
    
    Published
    
    2021-10
    
    Predictions
    
    20
    
    Graded
    
    17
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2020](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2020)
    
    Published
    
    2020-10
    
    Predictions
    
    20
    
    Graded
    
    8
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2019](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2019)
    
    Published
    
    2019-10
    
    Predictions
    
    20
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    1 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2018](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2018)
    
    Published
    
    2018-10
    
    Predictions
    
    20
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    1 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2017](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2017)
    
    Published
    
    2017-10
    
    Predictions
    
    20
    
    Graded
    
    1
    
    Hit rate
    
    1 of 1, counts only
    
    Status
    
    complete
    
-   [2016](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2016)
    
    Published
    
    2016-11
    
    Predictions
    
    10
    
    Status
    
    partial
    
-   [2015](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2015)
    
    Published
    
    2015-11
    
    Predictions
    
    14
    
    Graded
    
    3
    
    Hit rate
    
    0 of 2, counts only
    
    Status
    
    partial
    
-   [2014](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2014)
    
    Published
    
    2014-10
    
    Predictions
    
    10
    
    Status
    
    complete
    

Publication

Published

Predictions

Graded

Hit rate

Status

[2025](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2025)

2025-10

10

partial

[2024](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2024)

2024-10

20

4

0 of 2, counts only

complete

[2023](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2023)

2023-10

20

9

1 of 1, counts only

complete

[2022](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2022)

2022-10

20

13

complete

[2021](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2021)

2021-10

20

17

complete

[2020](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2020)

2020-10

20

8

complete

[2019](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2019)

2019-10

20

1

1 of 1, counts only

complete

[2018](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2018)

2018-10

20

1

1 of 1, counts only

complete

[2017](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2017)

2017-10

20

1

1 of 1, counts only

complete

[2016](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2016)

2016-11

10

partial

[2015](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2015)

2015-11

14

3

0 of 2, counts only

partial

[2014](/hindsight/idc/futurescape/2014)

2014-10

10

complete

-   hit
-   partial
-   miss

Hit rate per publication: hits over hit, partial and miss. Below 20 graded claims, counts only ([D11](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d11-validation-thresholds)). Rates per publication carry no audit adjustment; the series rate on the publisher page does ([D28](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md#d28-the-audit-error-rate-widens-every-published-interval-d11-issue-61)).

---
Data, code and grading rules are public at [github.com/envisioning/hindsight](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight). Data under CC BY 4.0 (the BCB Focus survey under ODbL), code under MIT. Every rule is in [the decision log](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/blob/main/docs/DECISIONS.md). Think a verdict is wrong? [Open a dispute](https://github.com/envisioning/hindsight/issues/new?template=dispute-verdict.yml).
---