Hindsight · review build · data not yet validated

Banco Central do Brasil

Every publication series from Banco Central do Brasil in Hindsight, and how its predictions turned out.

Focus market expectations surveyNumeric forecasts

108 publications, 1999 to 2026 · 811 predictions

38%

hit rate, 298 of 779 (95% interval 35% to 42%)

hit 298partial 169miss 312still open 32

Graded by rule against the published actual value (D19). Rates: mean error -0.52 points, mean absolute error 1.62 points (n 593). Levels: mean error -1.5%, mean absolute error 13.2% of actual (n 186).