Skip to main content

Envisioning is an emerging technology research institute and advisory.

LinkedInInstagramGitHub

2011 — 2026

research
  • Reports
  • Newsletter
  • Methodology
  • Origins
  • Vocab
services
  • Research Sessions
  • Signals Workspace
  • Bespoke Projects
  • Use Cases
  • Signal Scanfree
  • Readinessfree
impact
  • ANBIMAFuture of Brazilian Capital Markets
  • IEEECharting the Energy Transition
  • Horizon 2045Future of Human and Planetary Security
  • WKOTechnology Scanning for Austria
audiences
  • Innovation
  • Strategy
  • Consultants
  • Foresight
  • Associations
  • Governments
resources
  • Pricing
  • Partners
  • How We Work
  • Data Visualization
  • Multi-Model Method
  • FAQ
  • Security & Privacy
about
  • Manifesto
  • Community
  • Events
  • Support
  • Contact
  • Login
ResearchServicesPricingPartnersAbout
ResearchServicesPricingPartnersAbout
  1. Home
  2. Research
  3. Wintermute
  4. HarmonyOS

HarmonyOS

Huawei's HarmonyOS fully dropped Android in 2024, creating the world's third mobile operating system with 10 billion connected devices

Geography: Asia Pacific · East Asia · China

Back to WintermuteBack to ChinaView interactive version

HarmonyOS NEXT removed the Android compatibility layer entirely, forcing developers to build native apps. The first phone to ship with purely native HarmonyOS was the Pura X in March 2025. Over 20,000 native apps are available, including Chinese versions of major global services.

The strategic significance is OS independence. For the first time since the smartphone era began, a non-Western mobile operating system has reached critical mass. HarmonyOS runs across phones, tablets, laptops, cars, TVs, and IoT devices — 10 billion connected devices by Huawei's count.

The constraint is ecosystem depth. iOS has 2 million apps; Android has 3.5 million. HarmonyOS's 20,000 is sufficient for the Chinese market but not for global competition. Huawei's bet is that cross-device integration (phone-car-home seamlessness) will be more important than raw app count.

TRL
8/9Deployed
Impact
3/5
Investment
4/5
Category
Software

Book a research session

Bring this signal into a focused decision sprint with analyst-led framing and synthesis.
Research Sessions