Skip to main content

Envisioning is an emerging technology research institute and advisory.

LinkedInInstagramGitHub

2011 — 2026

research
  • Reports
  • Newsletter
  • Methodology
  • Origins
  • My Collection
services
  • Research Sessions
  • Signals Workspace
  • Bespoke Projects
  • Use Cases
  • Signal Scanfree
  • Readinessfree
impact
  • ANBIMAFuture of Brazilian Capital Markets
  • IEEECharting the Energy Transition
  • Horizon 2045Future of Human and Planetary Security
  • WKOTechnology Scanning for Austria
audiences
  • Innovation
  • Strategy
  • Consultants
  • Foresight
  • Associations
  • Governments
resources
  • Pricing
  • Partners
  • How We Work
  • Data Visualization
  • Multi-Model Method
  • FAQ
  • Security & Privacy
about
  • Manifesto
  • Community
  • Events
  • Support
  • Contact
  • Login
ResearchServicesPricingPartnersAbout
ResearchServicesPricingPartnersAbout
  1. Home
  2. Research
  3. Vector
  4. All-Solid-State Batteries

All-Solid-State Batteries

Toyota and Idemitsu Kosan broke ground on a solid electrolyte pilot plant in January 2026 — targeting 1,000km range EVs and 10 GWh production by 2027.
Back to VectorView interactive version

Toyota holds over 1,000 patents on solid-state battery technology — more than any other company — and received METI certification for its production roadmap in September 2024. In January 2026, partner Idemitsu Kosan broke ground on a large-scale solid electrolyte pilot plant, with Toyota planning a 10 GWh factory in Japan targeting initial Lexus models. Sumitomo Metal Mining signed a mass production agreement for cathode materials specifically for solid-state batteries. The target is 1,000km driving range with 10-minute charging.

Solid-state batteries replace the liquid electrolyte in conventional lithium-ion cells with a solid material, eliminating fire risk, enabling higher energy density (potentially 2-3x current cells), and allowing faster charging. If Toyota achieves its targets, solid-state batteries would represent the most significant battery technology breakthrough since lithium-ion commercialization in 1991 — also a Japanese innovation (Sony).

The global stakes are enormous: the EV battery market is projected to exceed $400 billion by 2030. China currently dominates lithium-ion battery manufacturing (CATL, BYD), but solid-state technology could reset the competitive landscape. Toyota's strategy of patient, deep R&D followed by rapid scale-up mirrors the approach that made the Prius hybrid system dominant — and solid-state batteries are the single technology most likely to restore Japan's automotive technology leadership.

TRL
6/9Demonstrated
Impact
5/5
Investment
5/5
Category
Applications

Book a research session

Bring this signal into a focused decision sprint with analyst-led framing and synthesis.
Research Sessions