Skip to main content

Envisioning is an emerging technology research institute and advisory.

LinkedInInstagramGitHub

2011 — 2026

research
  • Reports
  • Newsletter
  • Methodology
  • Origins
  • Vocab
services
  • Research Sessions
  • Signals Workspace
  • Bespoke Projects
  • Use Cases
  • Signal Scanfree
  • Readinessfree
impact
  • ANBIMAFuture of Brazilian Capital Markets
  • IEEECharting the Energy Transition
  • Horizon 2045Future of Human and Planetary Security
  • WKOTechnology Scanning for Austria
audiences
  • Innovation
  • Strategy
  • Consultants
  • Foresight
  • Associations
  • Governments
resources
  • Pricing
  • Partners
  • How We Work
  • Data Visualization
  • Multi-Model Method
  • FAQ
  • Security & Privacy
about
  • Manifesto
  • Community
  • Events
  • Support
  • Contact
  • Login
ResearchServicesPricingPartnersAbout
ResearchServicesPricingPartnersAbout
  1. Home
  2. Research
  3. Grid
  4. Green Hydrogen Production via Electrolysis

Green Hydrogen Production via Electrolysis

Chile targets becoming a top-3 global green hydrogen exporter by 2040, leveraging world-best solar and wind resources to produce H2 at potentially the lowest cost anywhere.
Back to GridView interactive version

Chile's National Green Hydrogen Strategy aims to make the country one of the world's cheapest producers and top-3 exporters of green hydrogen by 2040. The physics are compelling: Chile's Atacama Desert offers the world's best solar irradiance for electrolysis, while Patagonia's wind resources rival those of the North Sea. Combined, these renewable resources could theoretically produce green hydrogen at $1.50/kg or less — below the threshold where it becomes competitive with grey hydrogen from natural gas.

The Chilean government selected six initial green hydrogen projects in December 2021, with operational targets of 2025. The Action Plan 2023-2030 allocates state-owned land for hydrogen projects and establishes regulatory frameworks. The target applications include replacing fossil fuels in mining haul trucks (the mining industry alone could create massive domestic demand), producing green ammonia for export to Asia and Europe, and generating synthetic fuels for aviation.

The strategic vision is audacious: create an energy export industry comparable in scale to copper mining. Chile's green hydrogen potential has attracted interest from European and Asian utilities seeking to decarbonize their energy imports. The challenge is infrastructure: electrolyzers, water supply (desalination), export terminals for ammonia/hydrogen carriers, and the sheer capital investment required to build gigawatt-scale electrolysis capacity. But the fundamental resource advantage — permanent, inexhaustible solar and wind — gives Chile a structural cost advantage that no policy can replicate elsewhere.

TRL
5/9Validated
Impact
4/5
Investment
4/5
Category
Hardware

Book a research session

Bring this signal into a focused decision sprint with analyst-led framing and synthesis.
Research Sessions