There Is No Wall
Issue 084 · December 23, 2024
Happy Holidays and welcome to your weekly gift wrapped insights about the collective revolution we are experiencing.
This week is light on personal commentary and heavy on curated links to help you make sense of the news. I am spending most of my holiday downtime coding. Of all things I could be doing (with or without AI), programming feels like the highest-impact activity of all. Both in terms of learning & enjoyment as well as the potential of these creations out the wild.
The AI news cycle is incessant, so I expect we’ll keep seeing interesting releases during the otherwise slow months of northern winter. OpenAI finished their 12 days of shipmas last Friday with O3, their new state-of-the-art, chain-of-thought model. O3 scores remarkably high on the ARC-AGI challenge, which means it has a high general intelligence quotient, albeit at a tremendous financial cost of upwards to thousands of dollars per run.
It’s interesting how a spectrum of potential price points emerge, where certain solutions are extremely time-sensitive whereas others can take an arbitrary amount of time (and money), as long as they eventually get the answer right.
Wishing you quiet days,
Michell
“When someone says AI doesn't deliver business value” (Thanks Bianca!)
Building Effective AI Agents (long read)
Wonderful toolkit from Anthropic. My own agentic workflows are chains of Python scripts working somewhat in consort with marginal autonomy.
Yann LeCun addresses the United Nations (7 min)
Could not find it on YouTube, only Reddit. Worth a listen.
Everything you need to understand O3
Simulated reasoning on the rise.
According to OpenAI, the o3 model earned a record-breaking score on the ARC-AGIbenchmark, a visual reasoning benchmark that has gone unbeaten since its creation in 2019. In low-compute scenarios, o3 scored 75.7 percent, while in high-compute testing, it reached 87.5 percent—comparable to human performance at an 85 percent threshold.
During the livestream, the president of the ARC Prize Foundation said, "When I see these results, I need to switch my worldview about what AI can do and what it is capable of."
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Marcus on AI
o3, AGI, the art of the demo, and what you can expect in 2025
Yesterday was a big deal in AI. Or maybe it wasn’t…
Read more
a year ago · 129 likes · 68 comments · Gary Marcus
Gary Marcus helps calibrate expectations.
WSJ says GPT-5 is over budget and behind schedule:
The Year in GTP Wrappers (38 min)
One of my favorite podcasts on why GPT wrappers might actually be fine.
Expanding your mind about what "intelligence" means, in a way, is keeping with the "AI" subject, in my humble opinion. (Kika)
"Stop thinking of AI as doing the work of 50% of the people. Start thinking of AI as doing 50% of the work for 100% of the people" (Jensen Huang via Henry)
Amazon support gets the balance wrong
TLDraw Computer
I love interesting AI UX.
Whisk, an Image Remixer by Google Labs (52 sec)
Another good way to remix images together. Less words only images. (Thanks Alex!)
Structured outputs for reliable applications (40 min)
OpenAI. This is so relatable & useful.
Substack recommendations
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Strange Loop CanonNo, LLMs are not "scheming"
For a long time people were convinced that if there was a machine that you could have a conversation with, it would be intelligent. And yet, in 2024, it no longer feels weird that we can talk to AI. We handily, demonstrably, utterly destroyed the Turing test. It’s a monumental step. And we seem to have just taken it in stride…
Read more
a year ago · 53 likes · 6 comments · Rohit Krishnan
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The Future Normal52 questions for innovators in 2025.
As a ‘reluctant futurist’, I make no claim to know what’s coming next…
Read more
a year ago · 6 likes · 1 comment · Henry Coutinho-Mason
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